Investor Club Research

Central Asia & CIS Research and Investment Portal

Institutional-grade equity research on frontier-market equities across Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan & Turkey.

Central Asia / CIS Bank Monitor

TickerBankCountry ConvictionP/BV ROAE FY25Div. Yield
BGEOLion Finance GeorgiaGeorgia Neutral 2.0x 28.2% 5.0%
TBCGTBC BankGeorgia Watch 1.5x 24.2% 6.0%
HALYKHalyk BankKazakhstan Neutral 1.2x 28.0% 9.4%
PASHAPASHA BankAzerbaijan Neutral 0.9x 19.9% 7.2%
ABBABB BankAzerbaijan Long 0.5x 16.7% 15.6%
KSPIKaspi.kzKazakhstan Watch 3.1x 53.7% 7.0%
SKBNKŞekerbankTurkey Avoid 0.9x 1.5% 0.6%
GARANGaranti BBVATurkey Avoid 1.2x 27.5% 8.6%
CCBNBank CenterCreditKazakhstan Long 1.1x 36.1% 12.0%
HMKBHamkorbankUzbekistan Long 1.4x 28.1% 7.0%

Top longs: Highest-conviction longs: ABB (0.5x book, 16.7% ROAE, 15.6% dividend yield), Bank CenterCredit (36.1% ROAE, 1.7% NPL), and Hamkorbank (28.1% ROAE, 30% loan growth).

Cheapest on book: ABB screens cheapest in the set at 0.5x book — on a 16.7% ROAE and a 15.6% dividend yield.

Highest ROAE: Kaspi leads on paper at 53.7% ROAE, but it's a platform, not a bank; among pure banks, Bank CenterCredit is the standout at 36.1%, ahead of BGEO (28.2%), Hamkorbank (28.1%) and Halyk (28.0%).

Kazakhstan vs Georgia: Georgia trades richer on book (BGEO 2.0x, TBCG 1.5x) than Kazakhstan (Halyk 1.2x, CenterCredit 1.1x) at comparable-or-higher returns — Kazakhstan looks like the better risk-adjusted value.

Latest Research Publications

Regular equity research notes, earnings updates, and market commentary published on Substack. Topics include quarterly earnings for Azerbaijani, Georgian, Kazakhstani, Uzbekistani, and Turkish banks; conviction updates; and occasional global bottom-up trade ideas.

About Investor Club Research

We publish institutional-grade research on banks and capital markets across Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, Georgia and Turkey. Occasionally, we publish high-conviction global, bottom-up, research-driven trade ideas with the potential to deliver double-digit returns.

Research by Mansur Mammadov, Equity Research Analyst.